Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 3.264578 3.899051 4.607255 5.453906 6.435953 7.536511 8.860495
2025-10-26 2.326039 3.126791 4.114520 5.412458 7.061846 9.075604 11.706455
2025-11-02 1.692589 2.518541 3.627372 5.203325 7.359985 10.178686 14.106103
2025-11-09 1.279497 2.083308 3.245483 5.012504 7.586749 11.147069 16.376358
2025-11-16 1.038147 1.830298 3.052259 5.021104 8.045387 12.430456 19.157382
2025-11-23 0.858851 1.629702 2.891391 5.033413 8.482527 13.695708 22.001549
2025-11-30 0.709417 1.444187 2.716236 4.984084 8.798304 14.786345 24.659387
2025-12-07 0.562686 1.230348 2.453399 4.742540 8.760887 15.306686 26.462145
2025-12-14 0.473443 1.104927 2.322272 4.701812 9.039683 16.337931 29.137777
2025-12-21 0.403367 1.002327 2.214568 4.683200 9.345170 17.426911 31.979962
2025-12-28 0.374916 0.982122 2.262002 4.958125 10.199112 19.508386 36.633406
2026-01-04 0.336962 0.932346 2.240863 5.094130 10.805261 21.200724 40.736018
2026-01-11 0.308296 0.900031 2.254479 5.307852 11.592983 23.302192 45.754354
2026-01-18 0.267488 0.828581 2.171398 5.309988 11.968332 24.685248 49.598695
2026-01-25 0.220706 0.729775 2.008761 5.117237 11.928213 25.285399 52.054021
2026-02-01 0.182399 0.643858 1.860501 4.933102 11.880583 25.858404 54.488717
2026-02-08 0.159734 0.597343 1.800791 4.942789 12.241835 27.251147 58.569274
2026-02-15 0.140335 0.555609 1.745825 4.955304 12.608112 28.677913 62.807353
2026-02-22 0.121263 0.509472 1.670583 4.906771 12.830350 29.824250 66.563770
2026-03-01 0.098674 0.444090 1.529011 4.668601 12.588760 29.982723 68.340483
2026-03-08 0.085561 0.408667 1.466909 4.628448 12.807064 31.128361 72.204024
2026-03-15 0.074819 0.378802 1.415722 4.610098 13.074811 32.398121 76.403552
2026-03-22 0.072258 0.381318 1.466250 4.881222 14.083497 35.367371 84.365154